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Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Predictions - Alcaraz backed to reach Wimbledon final

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 12 Jul 2024

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Ralph Staniforth 12 Jul 2024

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Alcaraz has a 4-1 record against Medvedev in Top 10 matches.
Alcaraz is on a 13-match winning streak at Wimbledon.
Medvedev vs Alcaraz: key stats and predictions for their upcoming match.

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Watch Carlos Alcaraz take on Daniil Medvedev at Wimbledon (Getty)

Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Predictions

Alcaraz has a good record against Medvedev although the latter is very strong on grass. I am backing the defending champt to have enough to reach the final again.

Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Predictions
Stats
Head-To-Head
Daniil Medvedev Stats
Daniil Medvedev Form
Carlos Alcaraz Stats
Carlos Alcaraz Form

Stats

Daniil Medvedev has lost 5 of his last 6 matches against Top 5 players.
Carlos Alcaraz has won in straight sets in 4 of his last 5 matches against Daniil Medvedev.
Carlos Alcaraz has won 25 of his last 28 matches.
Carlos Alcaraz has won his last 12 matches at Wimbledon.
Carlos Alcaraz has won 6 of his last 7 matches against Top 5 players.

Head-To-Head

Alcaraz has won four of their six clashes, including the last two.

Daniil Medvedev Stats

Nationality: Russia

Age: 28 (11 February 1996)

Height: 6'6" (1.98m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 5

Career High: 1 (February 2022)

ATP Tour Titles: 20

2024 ATP Tour Titles: 0

Grand Slam Singles Titles: 1 (2021 US Open)

Wimbledon Best Result: Semi-Finals (2023)

Daniil Medvedev Form

Daniil Medvedev is 33-9 this year, reaching the Australian Open final where he blew a two set lead against Jannik Sinner. He reached the semi-finals in Dubai and Miami either side of a final defeat at Indian Wells.

The Russian couldn’t reach a semi-final on clay, retiring in the Madrid Masters quarter-finals and going out in the French Open fourth round. He started the grass court swing in Halle where he exited in the Round of 16.

The World No.5 began Wimbledon with a straight sets victory over Aleksandar Kovacevic. He got past Alexandre Muller and Jan Lennard Struff in 4 sets before Grigor Dimitrov retired in the first round.

Medvedev was involved in an epic 5 set win against Jannik Sinner, coming through 6-7 6-4 7-6 2-6 6-3 despite winning 45% of his 2nd serves.

Carlos Alcaraz Stats

Nationality: Spain

Age: 21 (5 May 2003)

Height: 6'0" (1.83m)

Plays: Right-Handed

World Ranking: 3

Career High: 1 (September 2022)

ATP Tour Titles: 14

2024 ATP Tour Titles: 2

Grand Slam Singles Titles: 3 (2022 US Open, 2023 Wimbledon, 2024 French Open)

Wimbledon Best Result: Winner (2023)

Carlos Alcaraz Form

Carlos Alcaraz is 31-6 this year, winning the Indian Wells Masters where he beat three Top 10 players. He won the French Open, getting past Jannik Sinner is the semi-finals and Alexander Zverev in the final.

The 21-year-old switched to grass at Queen's Club, beating Francisco Cerundolo in straight sets before a 7-6 6-3 defeat to Jack Draper.

The World No.3 breezed through his opening two matches at Wimbledon, beating Mark Lajal and Aleksandar Vukic in straight sets. He had a scare in the third round before overcoming Frances Tiafoe 5-7 6-2 4-6 7-6 6-2.

Alcaraz defeated Ugo Humbert 6-3 6-4 1-6 7-5, saving 8/13 break points. He fell behind again in the quarter-finals, turning it around once more to get past Tommy Paul 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2, winning 63% of his 2nd serves.

Verdict

Daniil Medvedev v Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz is 4-1 against Daniil Medvedev since becoming a Top 10 player, all four wins coming in straight sets. He has won 13 straight matches at Wimbledon and can get closer to another final.