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France vs Italy Predictions - Tight contest predicted for Paris

Ralph Staniforth

Editor

Last updated: 05 Sep 2024

Ralph Staniforth 05 Sep 2024

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France and Italy have struggled to score in Euro 2024.
Both teams' recent matches mostly saw under 2.5 goals.
Key players will be missing, affecting game dynamics.

Expired

France have seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches (Getty)

France vs Italy Predictions

Both of these sides have struggled in front of goal, particularly at Euro 2024. There is value on a low scoring draw.

France vs Italy Predictions
Head to Head
France Form
France Squad & Team News
Italy Form
Italy Squad & Team News

France have seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches.
France have seen under 1.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches.
Italy have seen under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 matches.
Italy have seen under 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.

Head to Head

Italy have won 19 of their 39 games against France. France have won 12 with eight draws.

France Form

France collected five points in Euro 2024 group stages, kicking off the tournament with a 1-0 victory against Austria (Maximilian Wober’s own goal).

Second round match against Netherlands ended in a goalless draw, while a 1-1 draw against Poland was enough to advance to Round of 16.

Les Bleus eliminated Belgium 1-0 thanks to Jan Verthongen’s own goal in the 86th minute, proceeding to beat Portugal on penalties (no goals after 120 minutes of play).

Didier Deschamps’ side was knocked out in the semifinals by Spain 2-1 despite gaining an early lead through Randal Kolo Muani.

France Squad & Team News


Pos.	Player	Date of birth (age)	Club
GK	Mike Maignan	3 July 1995 (age 29)	AC Milan
GK	Alphonse Areola	27 February 1993 (age 31)	West Ham United
GK	Brice Samba	25 April 1994 (age 30)	Lens
DF	Lucas Digne	20 July 1993 (age 31)	Aston Villa
DF	Jules Koundé	12 November 1998 (age 25)	Barcelona
DF	Théo Hernandez	6 October 1997 (age 26)	AC Milan
DF	Dayot Upamecano	27 October 1998 (age 25)	Bayern Munich
DF	William Saliba	24 March 2001 (age 23)	Arsenal
DF	Ibrahima Konaté	25 May 1999 (age 25)	Liverpool
DF	Jonathan Clauss	25 September 1992 (age 31)	Nice
DF	Loïc Badé	11 April 2000 (age 24)	Sevilla
MF	N'Golo Kanté	29 March 1991 (age 33)	Al-Ittihad
MF	Youssouf Fofana	10 January 1999 (age 25)	AC Milan
MF	Mattéo Guendouzi	14 April 1999 (age 25)	Lazio
MF	Warren Zaïre-Emery	8 March 2006 (age 18)	Paris Saint-Germain
MF	Manu Koné	17 May 2001 (age 23)	Roma
FW	Antoine Griezmann (vice-captain)	21 March 1991 (age 33)	Atlético Madrid
FW	Kylian Mbappé (captain)	20 December 1998 (age 25)	Real Madrid
FW	Ousmane Dembélé	15 May 1997 (age 27)	Paris Saint-Germain
FW	Randal Kolo Muani	5 December 1998 (age 25)	Paris Saint-Germain
FW	Marcus Thuram	6 August 1997 (age 27)	Inter Milan
FW	Bradley Barcola	2 September 2002 (age 22)	Paris Saint-Germain
FW	Michael Olise	12 December 2001 (age 22)	Bayern Munich

Michael Olise and Loic Bade are set for their debuts.

Benjamin Pavard, Adrien Rabiot and Kingsley Coman were not called up.

Eduardo Camavinga, Aurélien Tchouaméni and Ferland Mendy are injured.

Olivier Giroud retired from the national team after 137 appearances and scoring 57 goals.

Italy Form

Italy had a disappointing run in Euro 2024, winning just one of their four games and getting eliminated in Round of 16.

They kicked off the tournament with a 2-1 win over Albania, Alessandro Bastoni and Nicolo Barella on target in the first half, followed with a 1-0 defeat to Spain.

A 1-1 draw in the third round against Croatia was enough to advance to the playoffs, Mattia Zacagni being the hero with his stoppage time equalizer.

Azzuri lost to Switzerland in the Round of 16, ending the match with 0.87-1.02 expected goals, 52% possession and 10-16 shots.

Italy Squad & Team News


Position	Player	Date of Birth	Club
GK	Gianluigi Donnarumma (captain)	25 February 1999 (age 25)	Paris Saint-Germain
GK	Alex Meret	22 March 1997 (age 27)	Napoli
GK	Guglielmo Vicario	7 October 1996 (age 27)	Tottenham Hotspur
DF	Giovanni Di Lorenzo	4 August 1993 (age 31)	Napoli
DF	Alessandro Bastoni	13 April 1999 (age 25)	Inter Milan
DF	Federico Dimarco	10 November 1997 (age 26)	Inter Milan
DF	Andrea Cambiaso	20 February 2000 (age 24)	Juventus
DF	Riccardo Calafiori	19 May 2002 (age 22)	Arsenal
DF	Alessandro Buongiorno	6 June 1999 (age 25)	Napoli
DF	Federico Gatti	24 June 1998 (age 26)	Juventus
DF	Destiny Udogie	28 November 2002 (age 21)	Tottenham Hotspur
DF	Raoul Bellanova	17 May 2000 (age 24)	Atalanta
DF	Caleb Okoli	13 July 2001 (age 23)	Leicester City
MF	Lorenzo Pellegrini	19 June 1996 (age 28)	Roma
MF	Davide Frattesi	22 September 1999 (age 24)	Inter Milan
MF	Sandro Tonali	8 May 2000 (age 24)	Newcastle United
MF	Nicolò Fagioli	12 February 2001 (age 23)	Juventus
MF	Samuele Ricci	21 August 2001 (age 23)	Torino
MF	Marco Brescianini	20 January 2000 (age 24)	Atalanta
FW	Giacomo Raspadori	18 February 2000 (age 24)	Napoli
FW	Moise Kean	28 February 2000 (age 24)	Fiorentina
FW	Mateo Retegui	29 April 1999 (age 25)	Atalanta
FW	Mattia Zaccagni	16 June 1995 (age 29)	Lazio

Francesco Acerbi, Gianluca Scammaca, Rafael Toloi and Giorgio Scalvini are injured.

Stephan El Shaarawy, Nicolo Barella, Jorginho, Bryan Cristante and Federico Chiesa were not called up.

Caleb Okoli and Marco Brescianini could make their debuts.

Verdict

France v Italy

Both sides struggled to produce goals in Euro 2024. Seven of Italy’s last nine games across competitions have seen under 2.5 goals, so this is the best bet.

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