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France vs Italy Predictions - Tight contest predicted for Paris

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: 05 Sep 2024
Ralph Staniforth 05 Sep 2024
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  • France and Italy have struggled to score in Euro 2024.
  • Both teams' recent matches mostly saw under 2.5 goals.
  • Key players will be missing, affecting game dynamics.
Expired
Kylian Mbappe of France (Getty Images)
France have seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches (Getty)

France vs Italy Predictions


Both of these sides have struggled in front of goal, particularly at Euro 2024. There is value on a low scoring draw.
  • France vs Italy Predictions
  • Head to Head 
  • France Form 
  • France Squad & Team News 
  • Italy Form 
  • Italy Squad & Team News 

  • France have seen under 2.5 goals in 6 of their last 7 matches. 
  • France have seen under 1.5 goals in 5 of their last 7 matches. 
  • Italy have seen under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 9 matches. 
  • Italy have seen under 1.5 goals in 3 of their last 6 matches. 

Head to Head 


Italy have won 19 of their 39 games against France. France have won 12 with eight draws.

France Form 


France collected five points in Euro 2024 group stages, kicking off the tournament with a 1-0 victory against Austria (Maximilian Wober’s own goal). 

Second round match against Netherlands ended in a goalless draw, while a 1-1 draw against Poland was enough to advance to Round of 16. 

Les Bleus eliminated Belgium 1-0 thanks to Jan Verthongen’s own goal in the 86th minute, proceeding to beat Portugal on penalties (no goals after 120 minutes of play). 

Didier Deschamps’ side was knocked out in the semifinals by Spain 2-1 despite gaining an early lead through Randal Kolo Muani. 

France Squad & Team News 






Pos.PlayerDate of birth (age)Club
GKMike Maignan3 July 1995 (age 29)AC Milan
GKAlphonse Areola27 February 1993 (age 31)West Ham United
GKBrice Samba25 April 1994 (age 30)Lens
DFLucas Digne20 July 1993 (age 31)Aston Villa
DFJules Koundé12 November 1998 (age 25)Barcelona
DFThéo Hernandez6 October 1997 (age 26)AC Milan
DFDayot Upamecano27 October 1998 (age 25)Bayern Munich
DFWilliam Saliba24 March 2001 (age 23)Arsenal
DFIbrahima Konaté25 May 1999 (age 25)Liverpool
DFJonathan Clauss25 September 1992 (age 31)Nice
DFLoïc Badé11 April 2000 (age 24)Sevilla
MFN'Golo Kanté29 March 1991 (age 33)Al-Ittihad
MFYoussouf Fofana10 January 1999 (age 25)AC Milan
MFMattéo Guendouzi14 April 1999 (age 25)Lazio
MFWarren Zaïre-Emery8 March 2006 (age 18)Paris Saint-Germain
MFManu Koné17 May 2001 (age 23)Roma
FWAntoine Griezmann (vice-captain)21 March 1991 (age 33)Atlético Madrid
FWKylian Mbappé (captain)20 December 1998 (age 25)Real Madrid
FWOusmane Dembélé15 May 1997 (age 27)Paris Saint-Germain
FWRandal Kolo Muani5 December 1998 (age 25)Paris Saint-Germain
FWMarcus Thuram6 August 1997 (age 27)Inter Milan
FWBradley Barcola2 September 2002 (age 22)Paris Saint-Germain
FWMichael Olise12 December 2001 (age 22)Bayern Munich

Michael Olise and Loic Bade are set for their debuts.

Benjamin Pavard, Adrien Rabiot and Kingsley Coman were not called up.

Eduardo Camavinga, Aurélien Tchouaméni and Ferland Mendy are injured.

Olivier Giroud retired from the national team after 137 appearances and scoring 57 goals.

Italy Form 


Italy had a disappointing run in Euro 2024, winning just one of their four games and getting eliminated in Round of 16. 

They kicked off the tournament with a 2-1 win over Albania, Alessandro Bastoni and Nicolo Barella on target in the first half, followed with a 1-0 defeat to Spain. 

A 1-1 draw in the third round against Croatia was enough to advance to the playoffs, Mattia Zacagni being the hero with his stoppage time equalizer.  

Azzuri lost to Switzerland in the Round of 16, ending the match with 0.87-1.02 expected goals, 52% possession and 10-16 shots. 

Italy Squad & Team News 






PositionPlayerDate of BirthClub
GKGianluigi Donnarumma (captain)25 February 1999 (age 25)Paris Saint-Germain
GKAlex Meret22 March 1997 (age 27)Napoli
GKGuglielmo Vicario7 October 1996 (age 27)Tottenham Hotspur
DFGiovanni Di Lorenzo4 August 1993 (age 31)Napoli
DFAlessandro Bastoni13 April 1999 (age 25)Inter Milan
DFFederico Dimarco10 November 1997 (age 26)Inter Milan
DFAndrea Cambiaso20 February 2000 (age 24)Juventus
DFRiccardo Calafiori19 May 2002 (age 22)Arsenal
DFAlessandro Buongiorno6 June 1999 (age 25)Napoli
DFFederico Gatti24 June 1998 (age 26)Juventus
DFDestiny Udogie28 November 2002 (age 21)Tottenham Hotspur
DFRaoul Bellanova17 May 2000 (age 24)Atalanta
DFCaleb Okoli13 July 2001 (age 23)Leicester City
MFLorenzo Pellegrini19 June 1996 (age 28)Roma
MFDavide Frattesi22 September 1999 (age 24)Inter Milan
MFSandro Tonali8 May 2000 (age 24)Newcastle United
MFNicolò Fagioli12 February 2001 (age 23)Juventus
MFSamuele Ricci21 August 2001 (age 23)Torino
MFMarco Brescianini20 January 2000 (age 24)Atalanta
FWGiacomo Raspadori18 February 2000 (age 24)Napoli
FWMoise Kean28 February 2000 (age 24)Fiorentina
FWMateo Retegui29 April 1999 (age 25)Atalanta
FWMattia Zaccagni16 June 1995 (age 29)Lazio

Francesco Acerbi, Gianluca Scammaca, Rafael Toloi and Giorgio Scalvini are injured.

Stephan El Shaarawy, Nicolo Barella, Jorginho, Bryan Cristante and Federico Chiesa were not called up.

Caleb Okoli and Marco Brescianini could make their debuts.

Verdict

Both sides struggled to produce goals in Euro 2024. Seven of Italy’s last nine games across competitions have seen under 2.5 goals, so this is the best bet. 

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06 Sep 2024

France v Italy