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Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich Predictions - Home draw enough for Inter

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: 14 Apr 2025
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Ralph Staniforth 14 Apr 2025
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  • Inter Milan lead after a 2-1 first leg victory against Bayern Munich.
  • Both teams are scoring frequently; BTTS is expected again.
  • A draw will likely see Inter progress in the competition.
Inter Milan beat Bayern Munich 2-1 in Germany last week (Getty)

Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich Predictions


Inter secured a memorable 2-1 victory in Germany last week but the match was very competitive. Expect the same this time around with BTTS likely.
  • Inter Milan vs Bayern Munich Predictions
  • Head to Head
  • Inter Milan Recent Form
  • Bayern Munich Recent Form
  • Predicted Lineups

  • Inter Milan are undefeated in their last 12 matches.
  • Inter Milan have won their last 9 home matches.
  • Inter Milan have seen BTTS in their last 5 matches.
  • Bayern Munich are undefeated in 15 of their last 17 matches.
  • Bayern Munich have seen BTTS in their last 5 matches.

Head to Head


In 10 meetings, Baynern have won five and Inter four. There has been one draw.

Inter Milan Recent Form


Inter Milan have been strong this season, particularly at home at San Siro where they have won nine straight.

Simone Inzaghi has been instrumental in orchestrating success on three fronts. His side lead Serie A, are in contention in the Coppa Italia and have a foot in the Champions League semi-finals.

Inter secured a 2-1 victory against Bayern Munich in the quarter-final first leg. Lautaro Martínez opened the scoring in Germany but Bayern equalised in the 85th minute, substitute Davide Frattesi netting the winner after a well-executed move involving Carlos Augusto.

The Nerazzurri returned to Serie A with a 3-1 victory over Cagliari. Marko Arnautovic scored and turned provider for Martínez, the Argentine netting his 20th goal of the season. Cagliari pulled one back but Inter cruised home after Yann Bisseck scored in the 55th minute, ending with 1.72-0.91 expected goals.

Bayern Munich Recent Form


Bayern Munich have shown some vulnerability in recent weeks, dropping points to Bochum and Union Berlin. They beat St. Pauli 3-2 and won 3-1 in Augsburg, Harry Kane scoring in both victories to get their Bundesliga campaign back on track.

The Bavarians suffered to a 2-1 defeat against Inter Milan in the Champions League last week. Kane hit the woodwork before they fell behind, unable to close it out after Thomas Müller equalised in the 83rd minute.

Vincent Kompany’s side are coming off a 2-2 draw against Borussia Dortmund in the Klassiker on Saturday. After falling behind early in the second half, they led 2-1 after goals to Raphaël Guerreiro and Serge Gnabry, ending with 2.95-1.72 expected goals.

Predicted Lineups


Inter Milan (3-5-2): Yann Sommer; Benjamin Pavard, Francesco Acerbi, Alessandro Bastoni; Matteo Darmian, Nicolò Barella, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Federico Dimarco; Marcus Thuram, Lautaro Martínez.

Denzel Dumfries and Piotr Zieliński are out and Mehdi Taremi is doubtful.

Bayern Munich (4-2-3-1): Daniel Peretz; Konrad Laimer, Kim Min-jae, Eric Dier, Raphaël Guerreiro; Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka; Michael Olise, Thomas Müller, Leroy Sané; Harry Kane.

Manuel Neuer, Dayot Upamecano, Alphonso Davies, Hiroki Ito and Jamal Musiala are all sidelined.

Verdict

Inter are a formidable opponent at home and are defending 2-1 first leg victory. Bayern Munich can score in Italy, but I think the Serie A leaders will ultimately take a draw to advance.

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16 Apr 2025

Inter Milan v Bayern Munich

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