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Poland vs Ukraine Predictions - Goals expected in Warsaw

ralph-staniforth
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Last updated: 06 Jun 2024
Ralph Staniforth 06 Jun 2024
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  • Poland vs Ukraine tips for Friday’s match
  • Poland have found the net in their last 8 home games
  • They failed to keep a clean sheet against underdogs like Estonia and Moldova
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Poland have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 4 home matches (Getty)

Poland vs Ukraine Predictions


Poland do tend to score but they also struggle to keep sides out at the other end. Therefore, BTTS is my best bet.
  • Poland vs Ukraine Preview 
  • Head to Head 
  • Poland Form 
  • Poland Injuries & Team News 
  • Ukraine Form 
  • Ukraine Injuries & Team News 

  • Poland have seen BTTS in 3 of their last 4 home matches. 
  • Ukraine have seen BTTS in 5 of their last 8 matches. 

Head to Head 


When these sides last met, Poland won 2-0 in 2020. 

Poland Form 


Poland struggled in the EURO 2024 qualifiers, earning just 11 points from their eight matches (three wins, two draws, and three defeats) in Group E, finishing behind the Czech Republic and Albania. 

After that unsuccessful run, the Polish team had one more chance to qualify through the UEFA Nations League playoffs. They began the playoffs with a convincing 5-1 victory in the semifinal against Estonia, Nicola Zalewski being the man of the match with three assists. 

In the grand final, the Red and Whites faced Wales in Cardiff, with both regular and extra-time ending without goals. Poland emerged victorious after a penalty shootout, securing their EURO 2024 ticket. 

Poland Squad


Goalkeepers: Wojciech Szczęsny, Łukasz Skorupski, Marcin Bułka, Mateusz Kochalski 
Defenders: Jan Bednarek, Bartosz Bereszyński, Jakub Kiwior, Tymoteusz Puchacz, Bartosz Salamon, Paweł Dawidowicz, Paweł Bochniewicz, Sebastian Walukiewicz 
Midfielders: Kamil Grosicki, Piotr Zieliński, Przemysław Frankowski, Sebastian Szymański, Jakub Moder, Damian Szymański, Nicola Zalewski, Bartosz Slisz, Michał Skóraś, Jakub Piotrowski, Taras Romanczuk, Jakub Kałuziński, Kacper Urbański 
Forwards: Robert Lewandowski (captain), Arkadiusz Milik, Karol Świderski, Krzysztof Piątek, Adam Buksa 

Ukraine Form 


Ukraine are coming off a solid performance with a goalless draw against Germany on Monday in Nurnberg. They had 0.53-2.26 expected goals, 43% possession and 7-26 shots in that match. 

The Blue and Yellow had to find their EURO 2024 ticket through the UEFA Nations League playoffs after ending 3rd in the qualifying Group C behind England and Italy.  

Ukraine were in a difficult position in the playoff semifinals against Bosnia & Herzegovina after Mykola Matviienko scored an own goal in the second half. Roman Yaremchuk found the equalizer in 85th minute, while Artem Dovbyk scored the winner just a couple of minutes later.  

Sergey Rebrov’s side then proceeded to beat Iceland 2-1 in the playoff finals to secure a spot in EURO 2024. They were down by one goal in that clash as well, Viktor Tsygankov’s and Mikhaylo Mudryk’s goals then turning things around in the second half. 

Ukraine Squad


Goalkeepers: Heorhiy Bushchan, Andriy Lunin, Anatoliy Trubin  
Defenders: Mykola Matviyenko, Vitaliy Mykolenko, Illya Zabarnyi, Oleksandr Tymchyk, Yukhym Konoplya, Bohdan Mykhaylichenko, Oleksandr Svatok, Valeriy Bondar, Maksym Talovyerov  
Midfielders: Andriy Yarmolenko (captain), Taras Stepanenko, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Serhiy Sydorchuk, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Viktor Tsyhankov, Oleksandr Zubkov, Mykola Shaparenko, Mykhailo Mudryk, Heorhiy Sudakov, Volodymyr Brazhko  
Forwards: Roman Yaremchuk, Artem Dovbyk, Vladyslav Vanat  

Serhiy Kryvtsov is injured. Eduard Sobol was not called up.  

Andriy Yarmolenko has the highest number of appearances for the national team on this roster (117) and is also the top scorer (46 goals). 

Verdict

Both of Ukraine’s recent UEFA Nations League playoff games were full of action and goals. Poland score regularly at home but struggle in the back, so BTTS is the best bet in Warsaw. 

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