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Toulouse vs Pau Predictions - Toulouse too good for Pau at home

brad-newcomb
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Last updated: 27 Mar 2025
Brad Newcomb 27 Mar 2025
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  • Toulouse have won 9 consecutive home matches.
  • Toulouse has dominated Pau at home, winning 8 of their last 9 meetings.
  • Pau have struggled in away games, losing 7 of their last 9 matches on the road.
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Toulouse
Toulouse have won nine fixtures in a row at home (Getty Images)

Toulouse vs Pau Predictions

  • Toulouse vs Pau Predictions
  • Head to Head
  • Toulouse Form 
  • Toulouse Team News & Injuries
  • Pau Form 
  • Pau Team News & Injuries

Toulouse have an excellent record over Pau and have been in outstanding form at home lately. Pau have struggled to get results away from home this season. 

  • Toulouse have won 6 of their 7 fixtures in all competitions.
  • Toulouse have won 9 consecutive home matches in all competitions.
  • Toulouse have won 8 of their 9 home games against Pau.
  • Pau have lost 7 of their last 9 away games in all competitions. 
  • Pau have lost 7 successive away games against Toulouse. 

Head to Head


Toulouse have the advantage with 12 victories to six against Pau in 18 meetings.

Toulouse beat Pau 22-14 away from home earlier this season.  

Toulouse Form 


Toulouse were outplayed in the first half against Bordeaux last weekend, conceding 29 points without scoring a single point.

Toulouse rallied in the second half, scoring three converted tries and a penalty against Bordeaux, but lost 32-24 away from home. 

Toulouse have been in great shape at home in the Top 14 this season. They defeated La Rochelle 35-27, lost 16-12 to Bordeaux, and beat Clermont 48-14, Toulon 57-5, Perpignan 41-9, Stade Francais 38-23, Montpellier 27-17, Bayonne 41-8, and Vannes 63-21. 

Toulouse are first in the standings with 65 points from 19 games. 

Toulouse have played excellent rugby at home during this campaign, often winning, and have defeated Pau seven consecutive times on their home turf. 

Toulouse Team News & Injuries


Mathis Castro Ferreira, Joshua Brennan, and Clement Verge dotted down over the try line against Bordeaux last weekend. 

Juan Cruz Mallia slotted three conversions and a penalty in the second half.

Pau Form 


Pau scored two converted tries, a penalty try, and a penalty against Montpellier in the first half last weekend, going into the tunnel with a 24-18 lead at halftime. 

Pau added 16 points to their tally in the second half, including two late penalties to secure a 40-38 home victory. 

Pau have not had any joy playing on the road this season. They lost 39-7 to Clermont, 49-25 to La Rochelle, 11-10 to Perpignan, 19-6 to Bordeaux, 30-3 to Montpellier, 56-25 to Toulon, 24-19 to Castres, 39-37 to Stade Francais before beating Racing 92 47-29.   

Pau are 7th in the Top 14 log with 42 points from 19 games. 

Pau have not been able to produce winning results away from home this season and have found the going tough when travelling to take on Toulouse, regularly losing against the defending champions. 

Pau Team News & Injuries


Aaron Grandidier-Nkanang, Romain Ruffenach, and Fabien Brau-Boirie scored a try each against Montpellier. 

Joe Simmonds kicked over three penalties, three conversions and one drop-goal in the match. 

Verdict

Toulouse have been in superb form on their home turf this season and are tipped to cover the -28.5 handicap.

Best Bet1: Toulouse -28.5 Handicap @10/11 at betway - 3 Units
Toulouse -28.5
Handicap
@10/11 - 3 Units
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