Toulouse vs La Rochelle Predictions - Upset on the cards if La Rochelle hit their straps

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 19 Jun 2024

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Ralph Staniforth 19 Jun 2024

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Predictions for Toulouse vs La Rochelle in the Top 14 semi-final on Friday
Toulouse are unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games
Can La Rochelle cause another upset?

Expired

La Rochelle can cause another upset on the road (Getty Images)

Toulouse vs La Rochelle Preview

Both sides come into this game in fine form and six weeks ago drew 31-all. It should be very tight again with value on the visitors in the handicap market and a possible upset win

Toulouse vs La Rochelle Preview
Head to Head
Toulouse Form
Toulouse Injuries & Team News
La Rochelle Form
La Rochelle Injuries & Team News

While the hosts are very good on home soil, I fancy La Rochelle in the handicap market.

Toulouse are unbeaten in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Toulouse topped the Top 14 table.
La Rochelle are unbeaten in their last 4 matches.
La Rochelle drew against Toulouse in their last encounter.

Head to Head

Over the last three matches each have won once along with a 31-all draw last time out.

Toulouse Form

Toulouse topped the Top 14 table with 76 points, one ahead of Stade Francais. In the Top 14, the top two automatically reach the semis while three to six play off for the other two spots.

At the start of June, Toulouse hosted La Rochelle in the Top 14 and drew the game 31-31. However, that was a week after they won the European Champions Cup, so quite a few players were rested.

After the draw, Toulouse suffered a 40-28 defeat at Lyon.

Toulouse Injuries & Team News

Toulouse should be at full strength given that they’ve had a week break and rested key players in the two weeks prior to that.

La Rochelle Form

La Rochelle struggled earlier in the season but have found form at the right time of the competition. While they failed to make it to the semi-finals of the Champions Cup, they will still fancy their chances of taking the Top 14 title.

Since losing by 20 points away to Bordeaux, La Rochelle are four matches unbeaten. They beat Pau by two points at home and followed it up with a 31-31 draw against Toulouse.

A week prior to the knockouts, La Rochelle beat Racing 92 24-19 at home. Last week, in the quarter-final, La Rochelle upset the odds to beat Toulon 34-29 away.

La Rochelle Injuries & Team News

La Rochelle are expected to field a full-strength side on Friday night.

Verdict

Toulouse v La Rochelle

La Rochelle are backed to get within seven points of Toulouse.

La Rochelle +7

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