Reds vs Moana Pasifika Predictions - Moana can cover in Queensland

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 20 Feb 2025

Ralph Staniforth 20 Feb 2025

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Reds set to play their first match this season after a strong 2024.
Moana Pasifika narrowly lost their last game by one point.
Reds expected to win but Moana to keep the match competitive.

Expired

Moana upset the odds against the Reds in 2024 (Getty Images)

Reds vs Moana Pasifika Preview

The handicap is set at 15.5 in this fixture which is a bit steep given Moana's ability to challenge early in the season. This is also the Reds opening fixture, so the value is on the visitors.

Reds vs Moana Pasifika Preview
Head to Head
Reds Form
Reds Injuries & Team News
Moana Pasifika Form
Moana Pasifika Injuries & Team News

Reds have yet to play this season.
Reds make the quarter-finals in 2024.
Moana Pasifika beat the Reds by 3 points last season.
Moana Pasifika lost by 1 point in their last match.

Head to Head

Moana Pasifika beat the Reds 17-14 when they met in 2024. That fixture was an away game for the Reds.

Reds Form

The Reds had a bye in round one of the competition, so their season only gets underway this weekend. They reached the quarter-final stage in 2024 where they lost 43-21 to the Chiefs in Hamilton.

2024 was a decent year for the Reds, but they will want better in 2025. The Brumbies have been the top Aussie side for a few seasons now, something the Reds will want to change. This game offers them a good opportunity to make a positive start.

Reds Injuries & Team News

15 Jock Campbell, 14 Tim Ryan, 13 Josh Flook, 12 Hunter Paisami, 11 Filipo Daugunu, 10 Tom Lynagh, 9 Tate McDermott (captain), 8 Harry Wilson, 7 Fraser McReight, 6 Seru Uru, 5 Ryan Smith, 4 Josh Canham, 3 Massimo De Lutiis, 2 Richie Asiata, 1 Sef Fa’agase.

Replacements: 16 Matt Faessler, 17 George Blake, 18 Zane Nonggorr, 19 Angus Blyth, 20 Joe Brial, 21 Kalani Thomas, 22 Harry McLaughlin-Phillips, 23 Lachie Anderson.

Moana Pasifika Form

Moana have been in Super Rugby for a few years now and the one consistent trait with them has been the start of the season. They are always competitive at the start, often achieving memorable wins, but as the season progresses, players get injured and tired, things start to fall apart.

That has to do mainly with squad depth for Moana. Not much has changed on that front this season, so they will have to rotate their squad carefully. The addition of Ardie Savea to their squad will certainly add plenty of experience and quality.

Pasifika will be disappointed with their start, losing 45-44 in Perth against the Western Force last weekend. It was a fantastic game, one which the Force won in the final moments, but also one Moana let go of.

Moana Pasifika Injuries & Team News

15 William Havili, 14 Solomon Alaimalo, 13 Pepesana Patafilo, 12 Lalomilo Lalomilo, 11 Kyren Taumoefolau, 10 Jackson Garden-Bachop, 9 Jonathan Taumateine, 8 Ardie Savea (captain), 7 Sione Havili Talitui, 6 Miracle Faiilagi, 5 Allan Craig, 4 Samuel Slade, 3 Feleti Sae-Ta’ufo’ou, 2 Millennium Sanerivi, 1 James Lay.

Replacements: 16 Sama Malolo, 17 Tito Tuipulotu, 18 Chris Apoua, 19 Tom Savage, 20 Semisi Tupou Ta’eiloa, 21 Melani Matavao, 22 Danny Toala, 23 Losi Filipo.

Verdict

Reds v Moana Pasifika

This is a tough challenge for the Reds to open their season, but they should have the quality to win. I am backing just that, but given Moana's performance last weekend, I do see the visitors losing by less than 15.5 points.

Moana +15.5

Handicap

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