Chiefs vs Reds Predictions - Chiefs to dominate against Reds

Simon Lewis

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Last updated: 02 Apr 2025

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Simon Lewis 02 Apr 2025

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Chiefs vs Reds is a top-of-the-table Super Rugby match.
Reds lead by one point, but have had favorable fixtures.
Chiefs are expected to win, covering the -12.5 handicap.

Chiefs have won 19 of their last 21 matches at the FMG Stadium.(Getty Images).

Chiefs vs Reds Predictions

This is a top-of-the-table clash in Super Rugby with the Reds leading by a single point. However, while the Reds form has been good, they’ve had a very favourable run of fixtures. Away from home, I see the Reds struggling in this fixture with the Chiefs backed to cover the -12.5 handicap.

Chiefs vs Reds Predictions
Head to Head
Chiefs Form
Chiefs Injuries & Team News
Reds Form
Reds Injuries & Team News

Chiefs have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Chiefs have won 19 of their last 21 matches at the FMG Stadium.
Reds have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
Reds have won 3 of their last 4 matches against the Chiefs.

Head to Head

The Reds have won three of their last four matches against the Chiefs. Prior to that, the Chiefs won five in a row.

Chiefs Form

The Chiefs have won five of their six matches to date and currently find themselves second on the Super Rugby table. They have 22 points, one point off the table topping Reds.

Over the opening seven rounds, the Chiefs only defeat came away to Fijian Drua. Prior to that loss, the Hamilton side beat the Blues, Crusaders and Brumbies with relative comfort.

Since that loss, the Chiefs have beaten the Blues 32-31 at home and Moana 50-35 away. Last week the Chiefs enjoyed a bye.

Chiefs Injuries & Team News

15 Shaun Stevenson, 14 Emoni Narawa, 13 Daniel Rona, 12 Quinn Tupaea, 11 Leroy Carter, 10 Damian McKenzie, 9 Cortez Ratima; 8 Luke Jacobson (captain), 7 Jahrome Brown, 6 Simon Parker, 5 Manaaki Selby-Rickit, 4 Naitoa Ah Kuoi, 3 George Dyer, 2 Brodie McAlister, 1 Ollie Norris.

Replacements: 16 Samisoni Taukei’aho, 17 Aidan Ross, 18 Reuben O’Neill, 19 Tupou Vaa’i, 20 Samipeni Finau, 21 Xavier Roe, 22 Josh Jacomb, 23 Gideon Wrampling.

Reds Form

The Reds have surprised many with their form at the start of the season as they top the Super Rugby table heading into round eight. They have won five of their six games and are one point clear of the Chiefs thanks to one extra bonus point.

In round one the Reds had a bye after which they beat Moana and the Western Force. They came up short at the Crusaders in round four but bounced back to beat the Waratahs 35-15 at home and the Highlanders 29-23 away.

Last week, the Reds faced the Force once again, this time at home, winning the game 28-24, the identical score to their game earlier this season.

Reds Injuries & Team News

15 Heremaia Murray, 14 Lachie Anderson, 13 Dre Pakeho, 12 Hunter Paisami, 11 Filipo Daugunu, 10 Harry McLaughlin-Phillips, 9 Tate McDermott (captain), 8 Harry Wilson, 7 Fraser McReight, 6 Joe Brial, 5 Lukhan Salakaia-Loto, 4 Josh Canham, 3 Jeffery Toomaga-Allen, 2 Matt Feassler, 1 Alex Hodgman.

Replacements: 16 Richie Asaita, 17 Sef Fa’agase, 18 Zane Nonggorr, 19 Ryan Smith, 20 John Bryant, 21 Kalani Thomas, 22 Tom Lynagh, 23 Jock Campbell

Verdict

Chiefs v Reds

I am backing the Chiefs to win this match by more than 12.5 points.

Chiefs -12.5

Handicap

@10/11 - 3 Units

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