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Chiefs vs Brumbies Predictions - Brumbies can cause an upset against the Chiefs

Marc Thomas

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Last updated: 01 Mar 2024

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Marc Thomas 01 Mar 2024

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Predictions for Chiefs vs Brumbies in Super Rugby on Sunday
Chiefs will play this home game in Australia
Can the Brumbies upset the odds in Melbourne?

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Brumbies can upset the odds against Chiefs (Getty Images)

Chiefs vs Brumbies Preview

While this should be a home fixture for the Chiefs, it will be played in Melbourne, as will all of the Super Rugby games this weekend. That changes the dynamic substantially in my opinion.

Chiefs vs Brumbies Preview
Head to Head
Chiefs Form
Chiefs Injuries & Team News
Brumbies Form
Brumbies Injuries & Team News

I am backing the Brumbies to get within the eight-point handicap and possibly win the game.

Chiefs have won 3 of their last 4 matches against the Brumbies.
Chiefs have won 16 of their last 18 Super Rugby matches.
Chiefs have won 9 of their last 10 Super Rugby matches against Australian opposition.
Brumbies have won 4 of their last 5 matches in Australia against New Zealand opposition.

Head to Head

The Chiefs have won three of their last four matches against the Brumbies, including their last two.

Chiefs Form

The Chiefs got their season underway with a fine performance last weekend, beating the Crusaders 33-29 on home soil. After losing the 2023 final to the same opposition, it would have been sweet revenge.

However, the Chiefs will know better than anyone that form counts for little after they dominated the 2023 round robin stage. They should once again be around the top of the table, but the question they will need to answer is whether they can get over the line when it counts.

At home the Chiefs are a particularly tough nut to crack. They dominated the first half last week but couldn’t maintain that intensity for the full 80 minutes. This week they will be looking at improving that.

Chiefs Injuries & Team News

(1-15): Ollie Norris, Bradley Slater, George Dyer, Manaaki Selby-Rickit, Tupou Vaa'i, Samipeni Finau, Kalyum Boshier, Luke Jacobson (c), Xavier Roe, Damian McKenzie, Etene Nanai-Seturo, Rameka Poihipi, Anton Lienert-Brown, Liam Coombes-Fabling, Shaun Stevenson

Subs: Samisoni Taukei'aho, Jared Proffit, Reuben O'Neill, Naitoa Ah Kuoi, Simon Parker, Cortez Ratima, Josh Ioane, Daniel Rona

Brumbies Form

The Brumbies were expected to win last weekend but the manner in which they did should send some concern to opposition teams. They were clinical against the Rebels, picking up a bonus point along the way.

Up front the Brumbies are a match for anyone. They controlled the game against the Western Force with immaculate precision, cruising to a 30-3 victory.

The Canberra-based outfit will know the Chiefs are a very different proposition though. While they are certainly capable of causing an upset, any bonus point will be acceptable from their perspective.

Brumbies Injuries & Team News

(1-15): James Slipper, Lachlan Lonergan, Sosefo Kautai, Nick Frost, Tom Hooper, Rob Valetini, Luke Reimer, Charlie Cale, Ryan Lonergan (c), Noah Lolesio, Corey Toole, Ollie Sapsford, Len Ikitau, Andy Muirhead, Tom Wright

Subs: Billy Pollard, Blake Schoupp, Rhys Van Nek, Cadeyrn Neville, Jahrome Brown, Harrison Goddard, Declan Meredith, Tamati Tua

Verdict

Chiefs v Brumbies

Brumbies are backed to get inside eight points and perhaps win in Melbourne.

Brumbies +8

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