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Blues vs Chiefs Predictions - Blues backed to claim Super Rugby title

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 19 Jun 2024

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Ralph Staniforth 19 Jun 2024

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Blues vs Chiefs predictions for the Super Rugby Final on Saturday
Blues have won 14 of their 16 games this season
Can the Chiefs cause another major upset?

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Blues vs Chiefs predictions for the Super Rugby Final on Saturday (Getty Images)

Blues vs Chiefs Predictions

The Blues are favourites to win their fifth Super Rugby title given their incredible form at home. The Chiefs find some good form last week to upset the odds in Wellington though, so the Blues will be very weary of that.

Blues vs Chiefs Predictions
Head to Head
Blues Form
Blues Injuries & Team News
Chiefs Form
Chiefs Injuries & Team News

While reaching the final is an achievement for the Chiefs, their form this season just doesn’t show that they will produce two big performances on the bounce. I am backing this match to see over 53 points with the Blues covering the -6 handicap.

Blues have won their last 4 home matches against the Chiefs.
Blues have won 7 of their last 10 matches against the Chiefs.
Blues have won their last 9 matches at home.
Blues have won 14 of their last 16 matches.
Blues covered the -6 handicap in their last match against the Chiefs.
Blues have covered the -6 handicap in 4 of their last 5 matches.
Chiefs have won 11 of their last 16 matches.

Head to Head

The Blues have won seven of their last 10 encounters against the Chiefs. When they met earlier this season, the Blues won 31-17 and have won their last four at Eden Park against the Hamilton side.

Blues Form

The Blues finished the regular season in second place, a point behind the Hurricanes. However, with the Chiefs upsetting the odds last weekend, the Blues have a home Super Rugby final this Saturday.

The Auckland side have only lost twice this season, away to the Hurricanes and Crusaders. At home their record has been perfect with nine wins from nine.

Last weekend, in the semi-final, the Blues were too good at home for the Brumbies, winning the match 34-20. In the quarter-final a week earlier, the Blues were 36-5 winners at home against Fijian Drua.

Blues Injuries & Team News

(1-15): Ofa Tu'ungafasi, Ricky Riccitelli, Marcel Renata, Patrick Tuipulotu (c), Sam Darry, Akira Ioane, Dalton Papali'i, Hoskins Sotutu, Finlay Christie, Harry Plummer, Caleb Clarke, AJ Lam, Rieko Ioane, Mark Tele'a, Stephen Perofeta

Subs: Kurt Eklund, Joshua Fusitu'a, Angus Ta'avao, Josh Beehre, Adrian Choat, Taufa Funaki, Bryce Heem, Cole Forbes

Patrick Tuipulotu makes his return from injury after missing the semi-final last weekend.

Chiefs Form

The Chiefs make an unexpected return to the Super Rugby final after ending as runners-up last season. They were favourites going into hat final, they are not this time around.

Over the course of the season the Chiefs have been quite inconsistent, winning nine of their 14 round robin games. They finished fourth on the table but beat the Reds 43-21 at home in the quarter-final.

The Hurricanes were clear favourites last weekend, but the Chiefs produced what was arguably their best performance of the season, winning the game 30-19 in Wellington.

The Hamilton-based outfit will need a repeat performance in terms of quality to get the win in Auckland. The question is whether they can produce that performance on successive Saturdays.

Chiefs Injuries & Team News

(1-15): Aidan Ross, Tyrone Thompson, George Dyer, Jimmy Tupou, Tupou Vaa'i, Samipeni Finau, Luke Jacobson (c), Wallace Sititi, Cortez Ratima, Damian McKenzie, Etene Nanai Seturo, Rameka Poihipi, Anton Lienert-Brown, Emoni Narawa, Shaun Stevenson

Subs: Bradley Slater, Jared Proffit, Reuben O'Neill, Manaaki Selby-Rickit, Simon Parker, Xavier Roe, Quinn Tupaea, Daniel Rona

The Chiefs have lost All Black hooker, Samisoni Taukei’aho to a leg injury. The return of Shaun Stevenson at fullback is however a positive.

Verdict

Blues v Chiefs

The Blues are backed to win Super Rugby 2024 by covering the -6 handicap. There is also value in the total points market with over 53 points offering over evens.

Blues -6

Handicap

@-109.89 - 3 Units

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with bonus code NEWBONUS

18+ only. T&Cs apply. New customers only. Email must be verified prior to participation. Min deposit R50. Max bonus amount R5000. Exclusive offer when you use the bet.co.za promo code NEWBONUS.

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Over 53 points

Total Match Points

@110.00 - 1 Unit

R5,000 bonus

with bonus code NEWBONUS

18+ only. T&Cs apply. New customers only. Email must be verified prior to participation. Min deposit R50. Max bonus amount R5000. Exclusive offer when you use the bet.co.za promo code NEWBONUS.

Bet at Bet.co.za