Samoa vs Tonga Predictions - Samoa backed to cover handicap against Tonga

Ralph Staniforth

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Last updated: 04 Aug 2023

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Ralph Staniforth 04 Aug 2023

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Samoa vs Tonga predictions for Saturday’s rugby international fixture (04:00 SAST)
Samoa have won the last 4 meetings with their visitors
Can Tonga avoid a 3rd successive defeat?

Expired

Samoa can beat Tonga at home by more than four (Getty images)

Samoa vs Tonga Preview

This should be a very good and tight encounter. Both teams will want victory to build some momentum ahead of the World Cup. I am backing Samoa to get the win by more than four points.

Samoa vs Tonga Preview
Head to Head
Samoa Form
Samoa Injuries & Team News
Tonga Form
Tonga Injuries & Team News

Samoa have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 2 matches.
Samoa have won their last 4 matches against Tonga.
Samoa have covered the -4 handicap in their last 4 matches against Tonga.
Tonga have lost their last 2 matches.

Head to Head

Samoa have won their last four games against Tonga. When they last met in 2022, Samoa won 34-18 at home.

Samoa Form

Samoa’s preparations for the World Cup are going along quite smoothly thus far. They have a squad that will concern some big nations later this year.

Two weeks ago Samoa beat Japan 24-22 in a superb performance. They made some changes for last week’s clash against Fiji, a game where they came up short 33-19 at home.

Samoa Injuries & Team News

Samoa will make changes ahead of this clash as their squad needs game time ahead of the World Cup. Regardless, they will have a few familiar combinations in play.

Tonga Form

Tonga have lost both of their recent World Cup warm-up games against Fiji and Japan but their performances have not been poor.

In their first game of 2023, Tonga lost 36-20 in Fiji before going down 21-16 in Japan last week. They have put a strong squad together for the World Cup this year with the regulation changes but getting the combinations ready ahead of the tournament will be key.

Tonga Injuries & Team News

Tonga have some players who have only recently started playing for them. They will want to give them as much game time as possible.

Verdict

Samoa v Tonga

I am backing Samoa to cover the -4 handicap against Tonga at home.

Samoa -4

Handicap

@-111.11 - 4 Units

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