Wellington vs Southland Predictions - Southland can surprise Wellington

Marc Thomas

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Last updated: 04 Sep 2024

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Marc Thomas 04 Sep 2024

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Wellington has won all 4 matches this season and sits second on the table.
Wellington could rest key players due to an upcoming midweek fixture.
Southland has won 2 out of 4 matches this season and looks to challenge Wellington.

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Wellington has won all 4 matches this season and sits second on the table (Getty Images)

Wellington vs Southland Predictions

Southland have made a strong start to the season, and they have a far more positive aura around them in 2024. This is, however, a step up, but with Wellington having a midweek game away from home this coming week, we could see Southland challenge again.

Wellington vs Southland Predictions
Head to Head
Wellington Form
Wellington Injuries & Team News
Southland Form
Southland Injuries & Team News

There is value in backing the visitors to get within 20 points this weekend.

Wellington have won their last 4 matches.
Wellington have won their last 15 matches against Southland.
Wellington have covered the -20 handicap in 6 of their last 8 matches against Southland.
Southland have won 2 of their last 4 matches.

Head to Head

Wellington have won their last 15 matches against Southland. Last season they won 39-17 at home.

Wellington Form

As expected, Wellington have made a strong start to the season, winning all four games to date. They are currently second on the table, five points behind Hawkes Bay with a game in hand.

Wellington are favourites to win the NPC this year, as they were in 2023 but were knocked out in the semis. Wellington beat Auckland, Taranaki and Manawatu in the opening three rounds.

Last weekend, Wellington went to Canterbury and thrashed the hosts 46-21 in a commanding performance. That win has set the tone of what we can expect for the rest of the season.

Wellington Injuries & Team News

Wellington will see this fixture as an opportunity to rest one or two key players, especially with a midweek fixture against Otago coming up on Wednesday.

Southland Form

Southland have made a very good start to their season considering they are usually fighting it out at the bottom of the table. They have won two of their four games and sit seventh on the table.

Southland began the season with a very impressive 22-13 home win over Otago before losing 31-17 at Hawkes Bay. In round three, Southland were again competitive against a top side in Taranaki, losing 39-24 at home.

Last weekend, Southland put in a fine performance to beat Northland 31-26 away from home.

Southland Injuries & Team News

Southland won’t want to change too much although this is a game they may feel is a stretch too far.

Verdict

Wellington v Southland

Wellington could rest players ahead of their midweek fixture. For that reason, I am backing Southland to get within 20 points.

Southland +20

Handicap

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